Quote:
Originally Posted by curves2000
He 100% is a scoring machine without a doubt. I never thought anybody would come this close and it looked like he was dead in the water a few months ago. Nobody knows for sure but it is looking more and more likely now.
That being said, he and today's players do benefit from a lot more opportunities to score. The game has changed, the rules, the way the ice is laid out, the training, diet, travel, medical, equipment and more.
Ovi is a lot more of a volume shooter, Wayne was still a much more efficient shooter. In a hypothetical scenario, Gretzky would have approx 1160 goals based on the same amount of shots Ovi has and Wayne's shooting percentage at the same age of 38.
We are seeing something truly wild overall though.
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Absurd take
50s: 2.63
60s: 2.94
70s: 3.25
80s: 3.81
90s: 3.18*
00s: 2.79*
10s: 2.80
last 5 years: 3.08
*'90-96: 3.32
*'97-04: 2.66
*'05-'10: 2.91
Gretzky's Career: 3.50 (3.71 for the first 15 years)
Ovi's Career: 2.90 (2.85 for the first 15 years)
Our current 'high scoring era' is essentially the median since '67. The first 14 years of Gretzky's career were all in the top 15 years all time. Every year of ovi's career until the last 3 were below median.