Everybody has been talking about how our bad start last season cost us playoffs. Out of curiosity, I looked at how devastating our current poor start has been on our chances (albeit after the last 2 wins). We're at 48%. Not that this should surprise anyone, but our bad start really hasn't tipped the scale.
At the extremes, Edmonton (ick) is at 77% (6-1-0) and Buffalo is at 35% (1-3-2). In summary, about a tenth of the way through the season, nothing is decided. Shocking!
Source: SportsClubStats, using 50/50 weighting as it's too early to weight based on performance
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/W.../Calgary2.html