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Old 09-08-2016, 01:26 PM   #4
rubecube
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sylvanfan View Post
We should see how you did in the first three weeks the past few years.

I always think that the first few weeks are more difficult as you try to get a feel for things. But I have nothing to back that up.

I think the best bets this week would be the Jets, Saints, and Seahawks. Even the Titans as a money play is worthwhile. Other than that I can talk myself into leaning either way quite easily.

At this point I'd like to see what this years Jaguars are before I'm comfortable giving a consensus top 4 team like the Packers a pretty lean 4.5 point spread against them even in a road game.
I'm 54-38-3 since 2012 in the first three weeks:

2015 - 18-10-1
2014 - 16-5-1
2013 - 11-12
2012 - 9-11-1

I find the first few weeks the best thing to do is be a bit of a contrarian. People will overreact to the previous year or overhype certain teams during the preseason. I'm not completely sold on the Packers as a top 4 team yet.
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