[Rathji]

Ok, so I am typing this up in advance, since I am going to be very busy all of Thursday and I expect that I will be an early target. If that is the case, I want all of this info out there. Chances are I won't even have a chance to edit it, so it might not make much sense give what the night kills bring us. I hope I have time to edit it at that point though.

First, I think we learned alot when we delayed the hammer until this morning, even if it did have me following the wild goose chase that starseed led us on. Starseed, I assume you are reading this, and that was a pretty impressive display.

Next, I think many will suspect me as a target, since I bought the starseed con job and I totally understand that. I can't say anytyhing to defend myself other than he was really convincing towards the end and I suspect he was actually saying things that are all true. I was an early vote for him initally, and I think I was a heavy driver in him getting to the cusp of lynch the first time.

Finally, my thinking at this point:


CaptainCrunch
If I was mafia and playing it like starseed did, I would actually try and play (and think) like a townie so I would be able to pull the big deception like he did. That means targetting someone you actually think is mafia (obviously Barrow in this case). He would have had help with other mafia to develop his theory, which is why his final posts were in such detail. An added bonus to this is that he would have an advantage picking out Barrow mafia since he was able to automatically remove his own team from the list. Because of this, I suspect that his accusation against CaptainCrunch isn't nessecarily something to be disregarded, because if he dies and flips mafia before starseed does, he looks like a hero and directs attention away from himself. Everything he said made a lot of sense.

To briefly summarize:
- Started on Agulati (expanded upon by me, here - http://forum.calgarypuck.com/showpos...postcount=1521)
- Potential connection to Completely
- Potential hints to other mafia
- Other general odd posts

(complete posting here - http://forum.calgarypuck.com/showpos...postcount=1514)

addtionally, other things brought up by other posters:

Originally Posted by Lego Man

CaptainCrunch seems to be entirely sidetracked and focusing on the wrong things all game. He's too clueless to be Mafia. That is my opinion at least.

Here, he doesn't say that CC is mafia, but he points out that he seems clueless. One thing I know about CC is he never appears clueless, even if he is wrong.

Originally Posted by CaptainCrunch

Fine, We need to see what Starseed is, it opens some things up in terms of who to go after next if he flips up mob.

unvote
vote Starseed

Originally Posted by Street Pharmacist

CaptainCrunch's vote seals it, no?

Here, CC and SP might be thinking they hammered starseed. Don't know if it specfically means anything that SP pointed it out, but his hammer to try and stop the accusations of starseed is telling. I wonder if he fully suspected starseed as mafia as well, and thought it would clear him in the process.


That pretty much sums up our case against CC, and I think it makes him our best primary target.


Baxter Renegade

Again, same reasoning that starseed had a vested interest in his redirect targets being a likely mafia member. He was a lot more vague here though and just said

Baxter's posts when looked at holistically are very mafia-like. Have a look through them and see if you come to the same opinion.

, so maybe just pulled a random name out of other people's suspect lists

Initally, I thought it was him and flameswin that posted the "Look anyone stopped posting combo", which I touched on in this post - http://forum.calgarypuck.com/showpos...postcount=1436 I was wrong though, as it was DropIn.

Other than that suspicion, nothing in the past few pages really leads me to suspect Baxter more post flip than I did beforehand. He is still on my list though.

DropIt

As referenced above, his exchange with flamewin below was very odd to me, as it seemed designed to stop any debate because people would be worried about being labelled as mafia.

Originally Posted by DropIt

and all the posting stops lol.

Originally Posted by flameswin

haha, that was awesome!

It's like they all came in trying to steer the ship off course and in another direction, the went "Ah ****, they're on to us" and all bailed, lol.

He was also the hammer on starseed, which if he is in cohoots with CC trying to silence opposition. I don't know that this means alot though. We were getting lots of information from the posting that had happened, so maybe it was to stop the flow of info, or maybe he just thought there had been enough of a lull that the hammer needed to come down.

Originally Posted by DropIt

unvote

vote: starseed

Feel like Starseed's cardflip needs to happen at this point given everything that has gone on around him. It should open some doors on to how we progress from here.

That's it for now. If I didn't have a chance to edit this post night kill flips, then I will post an addendum when I have had a chance to process the new info.